Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.004429 0.004666 0.004909 0.005177 0.005466 0.005768 0.006107
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.004110 0.004473 0.004863 0.005315 0.005825 0.006385 0.007051
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.003799 0.004223 0.004692 0.005251 0.005904 0.006648 0.007567
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003572 0.004036 0.004562 0.005205 0.005977 0.006883 0.008038
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003372 0.003863 0.004429 0.005136 0.006004 0.007049 0.008420
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003280 0.003807 0.004426 0.005214 0.006205 0.007427 0.009078
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003161 0.003710 0.004364 0.005212 0.006299 0.007669 0.009569
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003038 0.003600 0.004279 0.005172 0.006338 0.007838 0.009965
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002902 0.003467 0.004157 0.005078 0.006299 0.007896 0.010209
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002786 0.003355 0.004056 0.005004 0.006278 0.007974 0.010480
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002715 0.003295 0.004019 0.005010 0.006362 0.008195 0.010960
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002572 0.003138 0.003850 0.004833 0.006189 0.008048 0.010895
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002517 0.003094 0.003828 0.004854 0.006290 0.008294 0.011431
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002506 0.003107 0.003882 0.004979 0.006543 0.008771 0.012349
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002426 0.003026 0.003805 0.004921 0.006530 0.008856 0.012661
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002357 0.002957 0.003742 0.004879 0.006537 0.008970 0.013024
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002284 0.002880 0.003667 0.004815 0.006509 0.009027 0.013295
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002263 0.002873 0.003686 0.004887 0.006684 0.009402 0.014115
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002218 0.002832 0.003656 0.004885 0.006746 0.009603 0.014655
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002164 0.002776 0.003604 0.004849 0.006754 0.009717 0.015047
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002097 0.002700 0.003520 0.004763 0.006680 0.009695 0.015195
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002038 0.002634 0.003451 0.004695 0.006632 0.009711 0.015411
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002005 0.002604 0.003430 0.004700 0.006699 0.009919 0.015992